足彩必发指数：米内罗存在冷点 克鲁塞谨防不胜
上期回顾：周二彩冷门迭爆，导致头奖空缺，必发指数虽然对大冷的判断有所失误，但不少小冷的比赛，必发数据还是有清晰的体现。第一场日本VS澳大利亚，在主队已经无需赢球即可提前出线的情况下，主胜依然接近七成热度，澳大利亚实力不俗，但做客受到如此低看明显异常，最终日本平局收场。巴甲方面，葡萄牙人VS巴国际是一场热度均衡的比赛，但主场却呈现一边倒的热度，最终巴西国际不败收场。庞特鲁的冷负也有清晰提示，本身是一场模糊对阵，但主胜成交比例已过八成，无人问津的客队最终胜出。另外做客的米内罗博塔弗戈均是一边倒的热度，最终两队均以输球告终。
本轮异常提示：本期胜负彩同样将竞猜世预赛与巴甲。本期巴甲数据异常的比赛不算多，而非洲区早期注量较小，数据上能够发现问题的比赛不多。从早期成交走势来看，客场作战的博塔弗戈、主场作战的米内罗都有偏热的迹象，而两队刚刚输球，此役受到较高关注均有异常，显然这两场比赛都存在冷点。克鲁塞VS巴西国际是一场强强对话，但主胜也有过热趋势，需重视主队不胜的可能性。另外世预赛非洲区中，做客的喀麦隆成交赔付偏高，但却呈现出走热趋势，该场同样是防范冷门的重点。
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。(盛亦发)
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 1152 |
| 1 | 瑞 士 | VS | 塞浦路 | $49,911 | 98% | $9,596 | 84% | $256,956 | 99% | 1.2 | 90 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,032 | 2% | $62 | 1% | $382 | 0% | 8 | 1 | ||||||
| $206 | 0% | $1,750 | 15% | $1,332 | 1% | 26 | 9 | ||||||
| 2 | 冈比亚 | VS | 科特迪 | $0 | 0% | $260 | 14% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| $27 | 7% | $1,291 | 68% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $329 | 93% | $360 | 19% | $189 | 100% | 1.6 | 100 | ||||||
| 3 | 塞拉利 | VS | 突尼斯 | $329 | 41% | $43 | 2% | $63 | 22% | 2.9 | 23 | 310 | 310 |
| $135 | 17% | $1,780 | 94% | $63 | 22% | 3.2 | 25 | ||||||
| $329 | 41% | $66 | 3% | $166 | 57% | 2.5 | 53 | ||||||
| 4 | 津巴布 | VS | 埃 及 | $0 | 0% | $64 | 3% | $41 | 22% | 3.1 | 25 | 30 | 30 |
| $27 | 46% | $41 | 2% | $43 | 23% | 2.9 | 25 | ||||||
| $31 | 54% | $1,798 | 94% | $103 | 55% | 1.8 | 49 | ||||||
| 5 | 多 哥 | VS | 喀麦隆 | $329 | 33% | $64 | 3% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 310 | 31 |
| $329 | 33% | $41 | 2% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $329 | 33% | $1,901 | 95% | $122 | 100% | 2.5 | 100 | ||||||
| 6 | 克里西 | VS | 弗拉门 | $35 | 3% | $1,152 | 49% | $2,999 | 70% | 2.3 | 61 | 31 | 31 |
| $31 | 3% | $574 | 24% | $804 | 19% | 3.5 | 24 | ||||||
| $955 | 94% | $631 | 27% | $463 | 11% | 3.6 | 14 | ||||||
| 7 | 克鲁塞 | VS | 巴国际 | $1,716 | 51% | $64 | 3% | $14,636 | 74% | 2.2 | 64 | 103 | 103 |
| $676 | 20% | $1,048 | 47% | $4,770 | 24% | 3.6 | 34 | ||||||
| $976 | 29% | $1,099 | 50% | $318 | 2% | 4 | 2 | ||||||
| 8 | 科林蒂 | VS | 葡萄人 | $3,587 | 62% | $3,555 | 65% | $17,138 | 82% | 1.6 | 56 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,089 | 19% | $446 | 8% | $1,796 | 9% | 4.2 | 15 | ||||||
| $1,120 | 19% | $1,451 | 27% | $1,978 | 9% | 6.6 | 29 | ||||||
| 9 | 达伽马 | VS | 巴伊亚 | $1,027 | 47% | $986 | 37% | $1,743 | 83% | 1.8 | 69 | 31 | 31 |
| $54 | 2% | $657 | 25% | $174 | 8% | 3.7 | 14 | ||||||
| $1,109 | 51% | $998 | 38% | $183 | 9% | 5.3 | 16 | ||||||
| 10 | 庞特普 | VS | 博塔弗 | $976 | 39% | $1,027 | 81% | $111 | 6% | 2.8 | 5 | 310 | 31 |
| $627 | 25% | $165 | 13% | $173 | 9% | 3.3 | 9 | ||||||
| $929 | 37% | $72 | 6% | $1,707 | 86% | 3.2 | 86 | ||||||
| 11 | 弗鲁米 | VS | 戈亚斯 | $1,124 | 36% | $1,040 | 38% | $218 | 64% | 1.6 | 37 | 3 | 3 |
| $976 | 31% | $966 | 35% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $1,005 | 32% | $760 | 27% | $121 | 36% | 5.1 | 63 | ||||||
| 12 | 科里蒂 | VS | 累航海 | $986 | 36% | $1,152 | 42% | $2,821 | 100% | 1.5 | 100 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,090 | 40% | $958 | 35% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $647 | 24% | $658 | 24% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 13 | 维多利 | VS | 巴拉竞 | $1,010 | 33% | $1,029 | 48% | $118 | 55% | 2.3 | 45 | 31 | 31 |
| $1,038 | 34% | $1,079 | 50% | $48 | 23% | 3.3 | 26 | ||||||
| $986 | 33% | $48 | 2% | $48 | 23% | 3.7 | 29 | ||||||
| 14 | 米内罗 | VS | 格雷米 | $993 | 34% | $1,089 | 38% | $260 | 84% | 2.2 | 76 | 13 | 13 |
| $1,017 | 35% | $1,120 | 39% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $921 | 31% | $678 | 23% | $48 | 16% | 3.8 | 24 |
