必发指数：杜塞尔大热异常 多特做客防阴沟翻船
上期回顾：上周六开出150万头奖，富勒姆与斯图加特主场输球是最大的杀伤点。两场比赛的相同特点都是主胜大热，但主胜成交赔率在如此热度下都明显偏高。诺维奇与西布罗都在主场告负，在客队的保级形势明显受到重视的情况下，客胜成交赔率也处于节节下调形态，最终打出客胜赛果。曼城[微博]的冷平也在预料之中，客胜比例录得85%，但成交赔率依然不低。不来梅主胜高达88%的成交比例同样是异常数据，毕竟本场对于双方来说都是保级战，最终鹦鹉军团在两球领先的情况下被霍村逼平。
本轮异常提示：本周六有多场优势对阵，前四场比赛曼城、勒沃、拜仁[微博]与沙尔克都是大热走势，但主胜成交赔率一致偏低，打出正路并不意外。杜塞尔VS纽伦堡是一场主队保级的关键战，主胜录得高热不难理解，但在一边倒的走势下，1.90的成交赔率显然不低，恐怕在大热走势下存在冷门的可能性。弗赖堡做客菲尔特同样是客胜大热，但考虑主队至今主场一场未胜且提前降级，本场防平足矣。多特做客沃尔夫是异常大热走势，沃尔夫的连胜走势并未有受到玩家的关注，打出心理冷门并不意外。巴斯蒂亚VS蒙彼利埃是两头热的比赛，但结合两队实力与战意对比，平局反而是最合理的赛果。
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。(盛亦发)
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 864 |
| 1 | 曼 城 | VS | 维 冈 | $103,952 | 89% | $321,939 | 97% | $1,872,783 | 96% | 1.36 | 80 | 31 | 3 |
| $11,432 | 10% | $4,330 | 1% | $39,665 | 2% | 5.9 | 7 | ||||||
| $1,926 | 2% | $6,873 | 2% | $44,154 | 2% | 10 | 14 | ||||||
| 2 | 勒 沃 | VS | 汉诺威 | $3,474 | 76% | $5,968 | 90% | $115,649 | 98% | 1.37 | 88 | 3 | 3 |
| $39 | 1% | $513 | 8% | $1,474 | 1% | 6.4 | 5 | ||||||
| $1,064 | 23% | $181 | 3% | $1,232 | 1% | 10 | 7 | ||||||
| 3 | 拜 仁 | VS | 奥格斯 | $45,322 | 97% | $47,547 | 98% | $359,460 | 99% | 1.23 | 91 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,281 | 3% | $231 | 0% | $2,812 | 1% | 7.6 | 5 | ||||||
| $24 | 0% | $658 | 1% | $1,048 | 0% | 17 | 4 | ||||||
| 4 | 沙尔克 | VS | 斯图加 | $8,491 | 81% | $104,494 | 98% | $24,102 | 91% | 1.4 | 68 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,230 | 12% | $1,093 | 1% | $1,923 | 7% | 5.7 | 22 | ||||||
| $719 | 7% | $975 | 1% | $550 | 2% | 9 | 10 | ||||||
| 5 | 杜塞尔 | VS | 纽伦堡 | $48 | 8% | $3,263 | 82% | $96,587 | 95% | 1.9 | 89 | 310 | 310 |
| $405 | 67% | $669 | 17% | $1,301 | 1% | 3.85 | 2 | ||||||
| $155 | 26% | $25 | 1% | $3,852 | 4% | 4.7 | 8 | ||||||
| 6 | 美因茨 | VS | 门 兴 | $1,552 | 46% | $3,853 | 59% | $3,429 | 51% | 2.32 | 40 | 310 | 310 |
| $687 | 21% | $1,474 | 23% | $1,795 | 27% | 3.55 | 33 | ||||||
| $1,106 | 33% | $1,202 | 18% | $1,486 | 22% | 3.45 | 27 | ||||||
| 7 | 菲尔特 | VS | 弗赖堡 | $626 | 6% | $682 | 46% | $4,771 | 5% | 4.9 | 11 | 01 | 01 |
| $122 | 1% | $246 | 17% | $7,946 | 9% | 4 | 15 | ||||||
| $9,134 | 92% | $549 | 37% | $79,775 | 86% | 1.84 | 74 | ||||||
| 8 | 霍芬海 | VS | 汉 堡 | $4,212 | 73% | $1,118 | 31% | $163,530 | 87% | 1.92 | 77 | 310 | 310 |
| $1,082 | 19% | $2,023 | 57% | $7,378 | 4% | 4 | 7 | ||||||
| $498 | 9% | $423 | 12% | $16,023 | 9% | 4.2 | 16 | ||||||
| 9 | 沃尔夫 | VS | 多 特 | $382 | 8% | $740 | 54% | $5,759 | 7% | 4.4 | 13 | 310 | 30 |
| $487 | 10% | $586 | 43% | $5,618 | 7% | 4.2 | 12 | ||||||
| $3,858 | 82% | $35 | 3% | $71,349 | 86% | 1.91 | 74 | ||||||
| 10 | 不来梅 | VS | 法兰克 | $1,773 | 48% | $688 | 39% | $54,169 | 76% | 2.24 | 66 | 31 | 31 |
| $1,430 | 38% | $565 | 32% | $9,459 | 13% | 3.95 | 20 | ||||||
| $523 | 14% | $525 | 30% | $7,582 | 11% | 3.35 | 14 | ||||||
| 11 | 尤 文 | VS | 卡利亚 | $52,121 | 97% | $7,439 | 94% | $186,124 | 99% | 1.28 | 95 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,016 | 2% | $360 | 5% | $793 | 0% | 6.8 | 2 | ||||||
| $722 | 1% | $149 | 2% | $367 | 0% | 16 | 3 | ||||||
| 12 | 卡塔尼 | VS | 佩斯卡 | $2,996 | 82% | $2,487 | 61% | $15,444 | 100% | 1.3 | 100 | 3 | 3 |
| $46 | 1% | $982 | 24% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $630 | 17% | $577 | 14% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 13 | 马 赛 | VS | 图卢兹 | $599 | 24% | $1,036 | 47% | $2,922 | 33% | 1.78 | 15 | 31 | 31 |
| $846 | 33% | $39 | 2% | $3,104 | 35% | 3.75 | 33 | ||||||
| $1,083 | 43% | $1,112 | 51% | $2,868 | 32% | 6.2 | 53 | ||||||
| 14 | 巴斯蒂 | VS | 蒙彼利 | $1,552 | 60% | $683 | 34% | $37,981 | 43% | 2.44 | 34 | 130 | 13 |
| $509 | 20% | $708 | 35% | $17,642 | 20% | 3.35 | 22 | ||||||
| $544 | 21% | $635 | 31% | $32,799 | 37% | 3.35 | 43 |
