上期回顾:周五彩头奖空缺,多场比赛爆出冷门。多特和马赛都是主胜大热,但笔者在补防上选择错误,最终多特赢球,而马赛则是被爆冷逼平。杜塞尔多夫的冷负也颇具杀伤力,本场主胜成交热度虽然不高,但客胜比例也不足15%,打出冷负也不足为奇。阿弗尔、特鲁瓦则是难点比赛中的最佳博胆,两场成交比例都处于低热形态,尤其是特鲁瓦,客胜几乎未受关注,成交率仅为5%。另外阿雅GF也是一场不错的胜胆选择。最典型的冷门当属图尔和克雷泰,两场主胜比例都明显偏高,最终都是打出了冷平赛果。
本轮异常提示:从周日彩必发成交情况来看,两场德甲[微博]的主胜都有过热的趋势,赫塔主胜比例更是高达84%,本场出大冷绝不意外。汉诺威主胜接近七成,本场则是将平局作为防范重点。意甲方面,国米[微博]在低热形态下赢球概率不低,热那亚则需要防范一手平局,而低热的都灵则是不错的博胆选择。西甲[微博]方面,比利亚客胜比例为五成,但对应成交赔率处于高赔风险区,不宜博胆,马竞技处于客胜大热的形态,需要防范心理冷门。法甲的梅斯则是异常热度,而里昂在大热形态下,很可能将以冷门收场。(盛亦发)
超级必发指数,由SPDEX必发指数网提供
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 512 |
1 | 赫 塔 | VS | 弗赖堡 | $711 | 18% | $1,737 | 41% | $48,283 | 84% | 2.2 | 76 | 103 | 10 |
$2,311 | 59% | $2,143 | 51% | $5,363 | 9% | 3.55 | 13 | ||||||
$900 | 23% | $333 | 8% | $4,126 | 7% | 3.8 | 11 | ||||||
2 | 汉诺威 | VS | 帕德博 | $3,330 | 55% | $1,109 | 36% | $38,755 | 69% | 1.9 | 48 | 13 | 13 |
$1,303 | 21% | $971 | 31% | $1,166 | 2% | 3.85 | 3 | ||||||
$1,477 | 24% | $1,022 | 33% | $15,898 | 28% | 4.8 | 49 | ||||||
3 | 罗 马 | VS | 帕尔马 | $415 | 16% | $18,309 | 86% | $454,402 | 94% | 1.29 | 68 | 3 | 3 |
$501 | 20% | $2,612 | 12% | $17,278 | 4% | 6.6 | 12 | ||||||
$1,611 | 64% | $387 | 2% | $11,851 | 2% | 15 | 20 | ||||||
4 | 亚特兰 | VS | 国 米 | $3,339 | 46% | $4,407 | 51% | $26,985 | 26% | 3.65 | 30 | 01 | 0 |
$2,146 | 29% | $2,477 | 28% | $40,710 | 39% | 3.55 | 44 | ||||||
$1,835 | 25% | $1,778 | 21% | $37,453 | 36% | 2.3 | 26 | ||||||
5 | 都 灵 | VS | 卡利亚 | $582 | 12% | $27 | 2% | $19,804 | 52% | 1.88 | 31 | 3 | 3 |
$2,270 | 48% | $35 | 3% | $8,863 | 23% | 3.65 | 27 | ||||||
$1,937 | 40% | $1,193 | 95% | $9,311 | 25% | 5.2 | 42 | ||||||
6 | 热那亚 | VS | 维罗纳 | $6,817 | 73% | $402 | 33% | $11,239 | 42% | 1.98 | 24 | 13 | 13 |
$2,031 | 22% | $315 | 26% | $4,138 | 15% | 3.7 | 16 | ||||||
$497 | 5% | $496 | 41% | $11,699 | 43% | 4.6 | 60 | ||||||
7 | 乌迪内 | VS | 拉齐奥 | $1,967 | 5% | $5,881 | 41% | $230,598 | 66% | 3.2 | 70 | 10 | 10 |
$32,621 | 90% | $7,785 | 55% | $27,810 | 8% | 3.5 | 9 | ||||||
$1,863 | 5% | $608 | 4% | $93,418 | 27% | 2.5 | 21 | ||||||
8 | 切 沃 | VS | 桑普多 | $821 | 7% | $940 | 14% | $1,689 | 6% | 2.92 | 6 | 031 | 03 |
$410 | 3% | $4,298 | 65% | $11,813 | 45% | 3.25 | 48 | ||||||
$10,654 | 90% | $1,404 | 21% | $12,793 | 49% | 2.9 | 46 | ||||||
9 | 切塞纳 | VS | 尤 文 | $1,228 | 6% | $520 | 3% | $7,190 | 4% | 17.5 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
$1,394 | 7% | $2,147 | 10% | $4,108 | 2% | 6.2 | 7 | ||||||
$18,296 | 87% | $17,847 | 87% | $185,779 | 94% | 1.27 | 60 | ||||||
10 | 巴 萨 | VS | 莱万特 | $80,575 | 98% | $3,681,767 | 100% | $1,754,612 | 99% | 1.06 | 77 | 3 | 3 |
$1,426 | 2% | $1,651 | 0% | $8,488 | 0% | 22 | 8 | ||||||
$60 | 0% | $4,450 | 0% | $7,170 | 0% | 55 | 15 | ||||||
11 | 巴列卡 | VS | 比利亚 | $217 | 2% | $2,637 | 68% | $14,328 | 20% | 3.5 | 24 | 310 | 31 |
$89 | 1% | $71 | 1% | $21,760 | 30% | 3.75 | 37 | ||||||
$10,032 | 97% | $1,196 | 31% | $36,472 | 50% | 2.22 | 39 | ||||||
12 | 塞尔塔 | VS | 马竞技 | $883 | 12% | $910 | 37% | $27,222 | 7% | 3.95 | 11 | 013 | 03 |
$2,678 | 38% | $166 | 7% | $27,940 | 7% | 3.55 | 10 | ||||||
$3,524 | 50% | $1,378 | 56% | $350,980 | 86% | 2.16 | 79 | ||||||
13 | 梅 斯 | VS | 甘 冈 | $2,806 | 40% | $1,453 | 34% | $2,182 | 46% | 2.9 | 44 | 30 | 30 |
$2,504 | 36% | $1,120 | 26% | $2,099 | 44% | 3.2 | 47 | ||||||
$1,694 | 24% | $1,681 | 40% | $442 | 9% | 3.05 | 9 | ||||||
14 | 洛里昂 | VS | 里 昂 | $1,233 | 36% | $883 | 15% | $23,001 | 13% | 3.35 | 17 | 130 | 13 |
$1,304 | 38% | $4,534 | 76% | $11,664 | 6% | 3.45 | 9 | ||||||
$882 | 26% | $508 | 9% | $147,572 | 81% | 2.44 | 74 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
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