上期回顾:周四欧联杯胜负彩,两支法甲强队里昂和埃蒂安同时输球有较大杀伤力。从当期成交情况来看,特温特的冷平是可以预计的,客胜热度明显偏高,卢甘斯、兹沃勒的平局都是无人问津的局面,最终都是以冷平收场。都灵客场也未能获胜,客胜成交热度接近九成,平局同样也在预料中。里昂的热度在早期尚算正常,但后期主胜热度直线上升,而对应成交赔率也是节节走高,里昂最终被爆大冷,也能够在必发市场的成交走势上有所察觉。
本轮异常提示:从周六彩必发成交情况来看,英超[微博]的切尔西[微博]虽然大热,但在成交低赔区下应能顺利打出。但英超需要重视几场热度明显偏高的比赛:其一是南安普顿,其二则是斯旺西,两支球队都有很高的人气,但对应主胜成交赔率并不低调,新浪爱彩认为冷门收场绝不意外。德甲[微博]方面,法兰克、赫塔和霍芬海三场主胜成交赔率区间都十分接近,但成交热度一致高于六成,其中霍芬海的冷门最为明显,主胜比例处于96%的大热区,小单甚至可考虑直接防冷。另外,西甲的塞维利也有主胜大热趋势,冷平也是需要重点防范。
超级必发指数,由SPDEX必发指数网提供
序 |
主队 |
VS |
客队 |
买家挂牌 |
买家比例 |
卖家挂牌 |
卖家比例 |
成交总额 |
成交比例 |
赔率 |
必发指数 |
过滤大单 |
2304 |
1 |
切尔西 |
VS |
莱切城 |
$589,267 |
98% |
$665,124 |
100% |
$5,092,640 |
98% |
1.21 |
83 |
3 |
3 |
$9,691 |
2% |
$1,707 |
0% |
$54,020 |
1% |
8.2 |
6 |
||||||
$2,564 |
0% |
$911 |
0% |
$46,280 |
1% |
19 |
11 |
||||||
2 |
水晶宫 |
VS |
西汉姆 |
$5,378 |
5% |
$14,246 |
21% |
$174,850 |
48% |
2.54 |
41 |
310 |
31 |
$79,057 |
80% |
$36,411 |
54% |
$113,950 |
31% |
3.35 |
36 |
||||||
$13,793 |
14% |
$16,523 |
25% |
$76,953 |
21% |
3.3 |
23 |
||||||
3 |
南安普 |
VS |
西布罗 |
$23,325 |
84% |
$15,456 |
56% |
$306,015 |
80% |
1.91 |
65 |
013 |
01 |
$1,031 |
4% |
$10,709 |
39% |
$37,708 |
10% |
3.75 |
15 |
||||||
$3,415 |
12% |
$1,509 |
5% |
$38,556 |
10% |
4.9 |
20 |
||||||
4 |
斯旺西 |
VS |
伯恩利 |
$18,683 |
76% |
$7,328 |
34% |
$1,024,878 |
93% |
1.68 |
82 |
13 |
13 |
$2,657 |
11% |
$13,905 |
64% |
$38,725 |
4% |
4.1 |
8 |
||||||
$3,242 |
13% |
$341 |
2% |
$33,948 |
3% |
6.4 |
10 |
||||||
5 |
埃弗顿 |
VS |
阿森纳[微博] |
$501 |
4% |
$1,323 |
3% |
$188,220 |
39% |
2.84 |
40 |
310 |
310 |
$11,356 |
84% |
$34,513 |
88% |
$44,896 |
9% |
3.55 |
11 |
||||||
$1,597 |
12% |
$3,428 |
9% |
$244,502 |
51% |
2.74 |
49 |
||||||
6 |
科 隆 |
VS |
汉 堡 |
$931 |
15% |
$648 |
14% |
$9,918 |
47% |
2.26 |
35 |
31 |
3 |
$5,197 |
83% |
$69 |
2% |
$4,042 |
19% |
3.7 |
23 |
||||||
$129 |
2% |
$3,879 |
84% |
$7,254 |
34% |
3.5 |
42 |
||||||
7 |
法兰克 |
VS |
弗赖堡 |
$3,808 |
56% |
$3,889 |
73% |
$4,245 |
61% |
2.14 |
47 |
31 |
31 |
$2,832 |
42% |
$377 |
7% |
$841 |
12% |
3.75 |
16 |
||||||
$100 |
1% |
$1,041 |
20% |
$1,844 |
27% |
3.8 |
37 |
||||||
8 |
汉诺威 |
VS |
沙尔克 |
$1,095 |
23% |
$122 |
6% |
$3,256 |
29% |
3.2 |
31 |
03 |
03 |
$2,620 |
56% |
$1,336 |
67% |
$3,323 |
29% |
3.7 |
36 |
||||||
$977 |
21% |
$542 |
27% |
$4,703 |
42% |
2.34 |
33 |
||||||
9 |
赫 塔 |
VS |
不来梅 |
$3,931 |
39% |
$1,297 |
85% |
$27,801 |
62% |
2 |
45 |
31 |
31 |
$1,206 |
12% |
$126 |
8% |
$6,275 |
14% |
3.8 |
19 |
||||||
$4,836 |
48% |
$97 |
6% |
$10,829 |
24% |
4.2 |
36 |
||||||
10 |
霍芬海 |
VS |
奥格斯 |
$2,132 |
72% |
$3,302 |
43% |
$764,905 |
96% |
1.97 |
93 |
103 |
10 |
$530 |
18% |
$3,286 |
43% |
$20,225 |
3% |
4.1 |
5 |
||||||
$320 |
11% |
$1,006 |
13% |
$10,110 |
1% |
4 |
2 |
||||||
11 |
多 特 |
VS |
勒 沃 |
$1,137 |
15% |
$1,329 |
82% |
$51,907 |
86% |
1.61 |
62 |
3 |
3 |
$3,348 |
44% |
$181 |
11% |
$2,571 |
4% |
4.6 |
9 |
||||||
$3,088 |
41% |
$115 |
7% |
$6,174 |
10% |
6.4 |
29 |
||||||
12 |
马拉加[微博] |
VS |
毕尔巴 |
$89 |
1% |
$173 |
2% |
$17,996 |
67% |
2.94 |
68 |
013 |
013 |
$10,299 |
63% |
$7,950 |
91% |
$1,543 |
6% |
3.5 |
7 |
||||||
$5,845 |
36% |
$589 |
7% |
$7,390 |
27% |
2.66 |
25 |
||||||
13 |
塞维利 |
VS |
巴伦西 |
$4,456 |
89% |
$2,450 |
41% |
$44,520 |
87% |
2.14 |
79 |
31 |
31 |
$455 |
9% |
$3,431 |
58% |
$2,682 |
5% |
3.75 |
8 |
||||||
$70 |
1% |
$86 |
1% |
$3,885 |
8% |
3.9 |
13 |
||||||
14 |
格拉纳 |
VS |
拉科鲁 |
$5,320 |
40% |
$775 |
8% |
$11,231 |
60% |
2.08 |
48 |
30 |
3 |
$3,188 |
24% |
$7,395 |
77% |
$7,253 |
39% |
3.35 |
51 |
||||||
$4,918 |
37% |
$1,490 |
15% |
$162 |
1% |
4.2 |
1 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
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