上期回顾:上周日开出528万头奖,冷点场次自然不少。客场作战的曼城[微博]是大热方,但以曼城历来客场走势低迷,以及是桑德兰过往主场不乏击败曼城的数次记录来看,主胜仅录得3%的成交率缺乏合理性,曼城输球自然也不算意外。米兰状态奇差,但此役做客切沃[微博],客胜成交却相当踊跃,88%的成交率显然超过了正常热度,最终米兰做客和局收场。最大的冷门当属罗马,主胜有93%的大热成交率,最终红狼在临近终场前被秒杀。卡利亚里几场意甲中主胜热度最低的比赛,也最终打出了主胜赛果。西甲[微博]方面,客场位的马竞技录得88%的大热成交,在这样一场强强对话中,马竞技的热度显然超标,客胜赛果自然很难。
本轮异常提示:本期足彩[微博]将竞猜国家队赛事,对比成交赔率数据和成交率来看,主场位的俄罗斯、丹麦和波兰的热度都在八成以上,但主胜成交赔率都在2.00左右的高位区,防冷看来是很有必要。意大利VS德国是一场强强对话,理应是热度五五分的比赛,但意大利主胜成交率仅为1成,德国大热明显异常,谨防心理冷门。另外客场位的克罗地亚有高达94%的成交比例,但这场客胜成交赔率也同样高达1.99,格子军看来出事的可能性不小。乌克兰VS法国,客胜成交赔率在2.5高位,对应客胜成交率在64%的较热区间,看来法国本轮也很难获胜。
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。(盛亦发)
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 2048 |
1 | 捷 克 | VS | 加拿大 | $3,491 | 82% | $2,991 | 78% | $10,265 | 95% | 1.33 | 72 | 3 | 3 |
$583 | 14% | $604 | 16% | $200 | 2% | 5.3 | 5 | ||||||
$208 | 5% | $239 | 6% | $346 | 3% | 15 | 23 | ||||||
2 | 俄罗斯 | VS | 塞尔维 | $2,007 | 55% | $2,344 | 37% | $26,651 | 88% | 2.02 | 81 | 310 | 30 |
$990 | 27% | $3,034 | 47% | $2,984 | 10% | 3.45 | 16 | ||||||
$647 | 18% | $1,032 | 16% | $520 | 2% | 4.5 | 3 | ||||||
3 | 爱沙尼 | VS | 阿塞拜 | $1,105 | 59% | $52 | 3% | $1,340 | 46% | 2.2 | 32 | 31 | 31 |
$52 | 3% | $1,125 | 59% | $643 | 22% | 3.35 | 24 | ||||||
$729 | 39% | $721 | 38% | $927 | 32% | 4.2 | 44 | ||||||
4 | 丹 麦 | VS | 挪 威 | $93 | 6% | $594 | 38% | $10,256 | 83% | 1.9 | 72 | 013 | 01 |
$1,000 | 60% | $665 | 43% | $1,750 | 14% | 3.8 | 22 | ||||||
$584 | 35% | $284 | 18% | $330 | 3% | 5.2 | 6 | ||||||
5 | 土耳其 | VS | 北 爱 | $37 | 3% | $26 | 2% | $2,841 | 41% | 1.48 | 12 | 3 | 3 |
$667 | 49% | $1,053 | 93% | $1,763 | 25% | 4.4 | 25 | ||||||
$667 | 49% | $52 | 5% | $2,393 | 34% | 9.4 | 64 | ||||||
6 | 波 兰 | VS | 斯洛伐 | $948 | 53% | $241 | 44% | $6,807 | 91% | 1.86 | 82 | 310 | 31 |
$625 | 35% | $94 | 17% | $454 | 6% | 3.6 | 11 | ||||||
$208 | 12% | $219 | 39% | $205 | 3% | 4.9 | 7 | ||||||
7 | 意大利 | VS | 德 国 | $1,376 | 41% | $74 | 0% | $1,278 | 10% | 3.15 | 11 | 310 | 31 |
$1,228 | 37% | $14,089 | 67% | $3,039 | 24% | 3.45 | 30 | ||||||
$740 | 22% | $6,795 | 32% | $8,398 | 66% | 2.52 | 60 | ||||||
8 | 爱尔兰 | VS | 拉脱维 | $2,378 | 89% | $552 | 41% | $6,515 | 96% | 1.39 | 76 | 31 | 31 |
$52 | 2% | $553 | 41% | $85 | 1% | 4.9 | 4 | ||||||
$229 | 9% | $246 | 18% | $208 | 3% | 14 | 21 | ||||||
9 | 英格兰[微博] | VS | 智 利 | $10,607 | 96% | $4,087 | 50% | $247,531 | 84% | 1.98 | 68 | 13 | 13 |
$165 | 1% | $2,545 | 31% | $7,330 | 2% | 3.65 | 4 | ||||||
$273 | 2% | $1,612 | 20% | $41,202 | 14% | 4.4 | 28 | ||||||
10 | 苏格兰 | VS | 美 国 | $1,990 | 33% | $1,252 | 11% | $5,927 | 33% | 3.05 | 32 | 03 | 03 |
$3,399 | 57% | $9,855 | 84% | $8,403 | 47% | 3.45 | 52 | ||||||
$625 | 10% | $634 | 5% | $3,549 | 20% | 2.6 | 16 | ||||||
11 | 冰 岛 | VS | 克罗地 | $1,146 | 6% | $1,501 | 24% | $7,588 | 2% | 4.6 | 5 | 310 | 10 |
$967 | 5% | $3,916 | 61% | $12,937 | 4% | 3.55 | 6 | ||||||
$16,583 | 89% | $959 | 15% | $308,368 | 94% | 1.99 | 89 | ||||||
12 | 希 腊 | VS | 罗马尼 | $5,093 | 67% | $3,835 | 17% | $89,274 | 58% | 2.08 | 44 | 310 | 30 |
$1,487 | 20% | $16,356 | 73% | $38,376 | 25% | 3.35 | 29 | ||||||
$1,042 | 14% | $2,187 | 10% | $26,035 | 17% | 4.5 | 27 | ||||||
13 | 葡萄牙 | VS | 瑞 典 | $26,840 | 30% | $8,627 | 33% | $637,365 | 81% | 1.69 | 60 | 31 | 3 |
$61,734 | 68% | $15,202 | 57% | $65,202 | 8% | 4 | 14 | ||||||
$2,142 | 2% | $2,634 | 10% | $84,210 | 11% | 6 | 26 | ||||||
14 | 乌克兰 | VS | 法 国 | $1,129 | 2% | $8,891 | 12% | $67,958 | 14% | 3.35 | 17 | 01 | 01 |
$55,438 | 85% | $56,161 | 79% | $100,932 | 22% | 3.3 | 25 | ||||||
$8,356 | 13% | $6,082 | 9% | $300,408 | 64% | 2.5 | 57 |