必发指数：意大利胜赔偏高需防平 土耳其热度异常
上期回顾：上周五世预赛胜负彩开出火锅奖，唯一杀伤点在于葡萄牙主场战平以色列。这场主胜热度高达99%，打出冷平也不奇怪。其余赛事冷点很少，难点比赛中，克罗地亚主场输给比利时有清晰提示，平局热度极高，客胜关注度最低。丹麦VS意大利，主胜成交率在五成以上，平局不足两成热度，数据呈现出两头热的局面，打出平局也在情理之中。斯洛文VS挪威的平局大热，主胜与客胜都在低热范围，最终主胜顺利打出。
本轮异常提示：本期有多场优势对阵，也有不少难点对阵。优势对阵比赛的成交赔率都很低，唯有意大利胜赔略显偏高，可考虑补一手平局，其余冷门概率都不大，可普遍考虑作胆。难点比赛中，保加利亚的德国都是热度偏高，从形势来看，捷克和保加利亚要争夺小组第二，争分形势都十分接近，捷克形象较高却未受关注，显然这场客胜是首选。而德国方面已经提前出线，此役依然录得九成热度明显异常，看来防范冷门仍有必要。另外土耳其VS荷兰是一场异常热度，荷兰虽已出线无忧，而主队需全力争胜，不过荷兰作为欧洲顶级豪门，此役只有两成的客胜成交率，那么客胜打出看来并不意外。瑞士VS冰岛则是两头热，平局无人问津的局面，这场平局收场看好需做好防范准备。
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。(盛亦发)
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 288 |
| 1 | 比利时 | VS | 威尔士 | $15,151 | 96% | $6,042 | 61% | $282,949 | 97% | 1.2 | 70 | 3 | 3 |
| $527 | 3% | $540 | 5% | $1,969 | 1% | 8 | 3 | ||||||
| $124 | 1% | $3,333 | 34% | $6,683 | 2% | 20 | 27 | ||||||
| 2 | 苏格兰 | VS | 克罗地 | $800 | 7% | $628 | 6% | $7,480 | 9% | 3.5 | 12 | 03 | 03 |
| $8,154 | 76% | $9,039 | 87% | $25,030 | 31% | 3.5 | 38 | ||||||
| $1,835 | 17% | $737 | 7% | $49,442 | 60% | 2.3 | 50 | ||||||
| 3 | 保加利 | VS | 捷 克 | $898 | 41% | $1,754 | 17% | $62,829 | 72% | 2.4 | 65 | 103 | 103 |
| $1,247 | 57% | $3,472 | 34% | $5,201 | 6% | 3.6 | 8 | ||||||
| $31 | 1% | $5,088 | 49% | $19,517 | 22% | 3.2 | 27 | ||||||
| 4 | 意大利 | VS | 亚美尼 | $4,908 | 84% | $2,885 | 85% | $280,832 | 95% | 1.4 | 72 | 31 | 31 |
| $835 | 14% | $416 | 12% | $7,841 | 3% | 5.6 | 8 | ||||||
| $111 | 2% | $95 | 3% | $8,339 | 3% | 12 | 20 | ||||||
| 5 | 瑞 典 | VS | 德 国 | $406 | 6% | $392 | 4% | $4,855 | 3% | 5.4 | 8 | 103 | 10 |
| $544 | 8% | $2,710 | 27% | $10,800 | 7% | 4.2 | 13 | ||||||
| $6,059 | 86% | $7,002 | 69% | $143,624 | 90% | 1.8 | 78 | ||||||
| 6 | 罗马尼 | VS | 爱沙尼 | $33,448 | 99% | $18,627 | 98% | $86,174 | 99% | 1.2 | 91 | 3 | 3 |
| $147 | 0% | $261 | 1% | $287 | 0% | 8.8 | 2 | ||||||
| $59 | 0% | $114 | 1% | $334 | 0% | 25 | 7 | ||||||
| 7 | 土耳其 | VS | 荷 兰 | $29,173 | 76% | $3,802 | 32% | $390,519 | 66% | 2.5 | 59 | 013 | 01 |
| $8,463 | 22% | $6,739 | 56% | $71,606 | 12% | 3.9 | 17 | ||||||
| $550 | 1% | $1,520 | 13% | $127,719 | 22% | 2.9 | 24 | ||||||
| 8 | 挪 威 | VS | 冰 岛 | $1,028 | 35% | $1,342 | 59% | $47,733 | 20% | 2.6 | 18 | 310 | 31 |
| $635 | 22% | $90 | 4% | $52,912 | 22% | 3.7 | 26 | ||||||
| $1,239 | 43% | $847 | 37% | $140,826 | 58% | 2.9 | 56 | ||||||
| 9 | 瑞 士 | VS | 斯洛文 | $3,598 | 66% | $830 | 34% | $192,307 | 63% | 2.3 | 52 | 310 | 13 |
| $35 | 1% | $709 | 29% | $23,626 | 8% | 3.8 | 10 | ||||||
| $1,787 | 33% | $906 | 37% | $91,351 | 30% | 3.5 | 38 | ||||||
| 10 | 葡萄牙 | VS | 卢森堡 | $52,883 | 99% | $969,430 | 100% | $1,893,876 | 100% | 1.1 | 89 | 3 | 3 |
| $87 | 0% | $93 | 0% | $1,813 | 0% | 29 | 2 | ||||||
| $186 | 0% | $204 | 0% | $3,187 | 0% | 70 | 9 | ||||||
| 11 | 拉脱维 | VS | 斯洛伐 | $3,314 | 43% | $3,661 | 40% | $779 | 6% | 3.8 | 8 | 310 | 310 |
| $1,053 | 14% | $99 | 1% | $3,351 | 24% | 3.5 | 32 | ||||||
| $3,314 | 43% | $5,492 | 59% | $9,979 | 71% | 2.2 | 61 | ||||||
| 12 | 英格兰 | VS | 波 兰 | $176,735 | 95% | $561,493 | 99% | $1,954,136 | 95% | 1.3 | 71 | 3 | 3 |
| $7,813 | 4% | $3,539 | 1% | $49,593 | 2% | 6.6 | 9 | ||||||
| $1,523 | 1% | $942 | 0% | $43,250 | 2% | 17 | 20 | ||||||
| 13 | 法 国 | VS | 芬 兰 | $6,539 | 98% | $41,181 | 98% | $43,501 | 99% | 1.3 | 91 | 31 | 3 |
| $54 | 1% | $351 | 1% | $125 | 0% | 6.6 | 1 | ||||||
| $94 | 1% | $307 | 1% | $281 | 1% | 14 | 7 | ||||||
| 14 | 西班牙 | VS | 格鲁吉 | $313,454 | 100% | $785,499 | 100% | $617,962 | 100% | 1.1 | 95 | 3 | 3 |
| $101 | 0% | $212 | 0% | $494 | 0% | 19 | 1 | ||||||
| $126 | 0% | $34 | 0% | $396 | 0% | 75 | 4 |
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