上期回顾:新年第一期足彩[微博]开出90万头奖,很多优势对阵都打出正路赛果,包括热度较高的阿森纳[微博]、利物浦[微博]和巡游者,不过这三场都是低赔区比赛,打出正路赛果也不难理解。主要的冷点则是来自小盘比赛,其中曼联[微博]输给热刺[微博]也是一场颇有杀伤力的比赛,热刺换帅后刚刚录得大胜状态复苏,但四连胜的曼联仍受到大面积热捧,主胜成交赔率达到1.80以上,冷门打出也在情理之中。英冠方面也有一些冷负产生,德比郡和利兹联同时输球,在必发成交数据上也有清晰体现。这两场都是胶着对阵,不过主胜热度都明显偏高,冷门打出也可以预见。另外水晶宫与诺维奇是一场保级战,主胜已达七成成交比例,水晶宫不胜也合情合理。
本轮异常提示:本期周日彩回归意西竞猜模式,从成交数据来看,佛罗伦萨、那不勒斯以及西甲[微博]双雄都是大热走势,但考虑成交赔率较低,主胜依然是第一落点。尤文VS罗马,主胜高达72%的成交率有一些疑问,毕竟罗马开局至今保持不败,建议防平。卡塔尼VS博洛尼是一场难点对阵,但主胜已近八成热度,防冷价值不小。另一场热那亚VS莎索罗也是一场异常热度的对阵,对应主胜赔率高达2.24,显然热那亚要拿到三分存在难度。西甲方面,奥萨苏纳和社会主胜都达到了六成以上的成交比例,但这两场都是胶着对阵,主胜成交赔率也一致偏高,这两场防冷也是势在必行。(盛亦发)
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 1152 |
1 | 切 沃 | VS | 卡利亚 | $497 | 2% | $3,649 | 8% | $12,420 | 18% | 2.42 | 14 | 310 | 30 |
$21,506 | 95% | $9,227 | 19% | $53,137 | 77% | 3.25 | 80 | ||||||
$657 | 3% | $35,245 | 73% | $3,611 | 5% | 3.5 | 6 | ||||||
2 | 佛罗伦 | VS | 利沃诺 | $26,083 | 96% | $71,990 | 98% | $274,481 | 94% | 1.35 | 73 | 3 | 3 |
$965 | 4% | $759 | 1% | $10,213 | 4% | 5.5 | 11 | ||||||
$163 | 1% | $520 | 1% | $6,307 | 2% | 12 | 16 | ||||||
3 | 尤 文 | VS | 罗 马 | $2,700 | 26% | $18,074 | 82% | $246,362 | 72% | 1.73 | 47 | 31 | 31 |
$4,227 | 41% | $2,568 | 12% | $47,016 | 14% | 3.95 | 21 | ||||||
$3,476 | 33% | $1,359 | 6% | $49,433 | 14% | 5.9 | 32 | ||||||
4 | 那不勒 | VS | 桑普多 | $9,683 | 81% | $749 | 30% | $123,337 | 95% | 1.39 | 79 | 31 | 3 |
$1,148 | 10% | $1,096 | 44% | $2,981 | 2% | 4.8 | 7 | ||||||
$1,085 | 9% | $664 | 26% | $2,889 | 2% | 10.5 | 14 | ||||||
5 | AC米兰[微博] | VS | 亚特兰 | $3,908 | 76% | $9,471 | 93% | $22,966 | 87% | 1.48 | 66 | 3 | 3 |
$1,004 | 20% | $61 | 1% | $2,844 | 11% | 5.1 | 25 | ||||||
$221 | 4% | $653 | 6% | $568 | 2% | 10 | 10 | ||||||
6 | 卡塔尼 | VS | 博洛尼 | $543 | 21% | $2,083 | 54% | $61,299 | 79% | 2.18 | 70 | 310 | 30 |
$951 | 36% | $638 | 16% | $12,232 | 16% | 3.35 | 21 | ||||||
$1,138 | 43% | $1,159 | 30% | $4,278 | 5% | 4.3 | 9 | ||||||
7 | 帕尔马 | VS | 都 灵 | $1,456 | 40% | $13,159 | 94% | $4,231 | 32% | 2.12 | 22 | 310 | 3 |
$473 | 13% | $255 | 2% | $6,707 | 51% | 3.5 | 56 | ||||||
$1,740 | 47% | $632 | 5% | $2,126 | 16% | 3.95 | 22 | ||||||
8 | 热那亚 | VS | 萨索洛 | $1,106 | 25% | $590 | 30% | $9,627 | 83% | 2.24 | 74 | 310 | 310 |
$2,468 | 57% | $636 | 33% | $1,454 | 13% | 3.5 | 18 | ||||||
$787 | 18% | $727 | 37% | $548 | 5% | 3.8 | 7 | ||||||
9 | 乌迪内 | VS | 维罗纳 | $1,053 | 48% | $4,601 | 68% | $14,943 | 64% | 1.87 | 46 | 31 | 31 |
$1,138 | 51% | $1,085 | 16% | $5,954 | 26% | 4 | 36 | ||||||
$25 | 1% | $1,053 | 16% | $2,313 | 10% | 4.8 | 18 | ||||||
10 | 拉齐奥 | VS | 国 米 | $4,439 | 51% | $2,605 | 11% | $36,285 | 42% | 2.6 | 38 | 130 | 13 |
$2,972 | 34% | $19,422 | 80% | $10,816 | 13% | 3.45 | 15 | ||||||
$1,236 | 14% | $2,337 | 10% | $38,285 | 45% | 3.05 | 47 | ||||||
11 | 巴 萨 | VS | 埃尔切 | $925,946 | 100% | $481,286 | 99% | $1,019,503 | 98% | 1.1 | 74 | 3 | 3 |
$1,707 | 0% | $2,424 | 1% | $9,815 | 1% | 15.5 | 10 | ||||||
$125 | 0% | $112 | 0% | $5,764 | 1% | 40 | 16 | ||||||
12 | 奥萨苏 | VS | 西班人 | $1,129 | 3% | $5,349 | 86% | $23,604 | 63% | 2.5 | 56 | 103 | 10 |
$29,693 | 71% | $244 | 4% | $10,612 | 29% | 3.4 | 34 | ||||||
$11,128 | 27% | $656 | 10% | $2,977 | 8% | 3.3 | 10 | ||||||
13 | 社 会 | VS | 毕尔巴 | $1,398 | 32% | $6,521 | 34% | $29,132 | 68% | 2.28 | 58 | 130 | 13 |
$2,274 | 52% | $8,667 | 45% | $8,847 | 21% | 3.55 | 27 | ||||||
$700 | 16% | $4,012 | 21% | $4,860 | 11% | 3.6 | 15 | ||||||
14 | 皇 马 | VS | 塞尔塔 | $116,599 | 99% | $1,194,223 | 100% | $426,152 | 98% | 1.11 | 69 | 3 | 3 |
$1,096 | 1% | $1,346 | 0% | $3,094 | 1% | 13.5 | 6 | ||||||
$62 | 0% | $1,879 | 0% | $4,823 | 1% | 36 | 26 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。