上期回顾:周三彩头奖不足三万元,该期冷门较少,正路居多。笔者在该期重点提及的两场冷门分别是AC米兰[微博]和桑普多利亚,这两场主胜成交比例明显异常偏高,最终前者以冷负收场,后者则是打出了冷平。低热形态的沃尔夫无疑是最佳稳胆之选,欧亚造势冷门,令客胜热度大减。另外塞维利、尤文等低热优势方,都是以正路收场。早期热度较高的马竞技,则是在后期欧亚强防客胜的走势下打出。埃尔切VS拉科鲁是一场不错的胜胆选择,平局大热,客胜也不乏关注度,这样的保级战欧亚走势引导客队,极易形成主胜无人问津的局面。
本轮异常提示:从周六彩早期必发成交数据来看,利物浦[微博]、曼联[微博]都在正常热度范围,在对应低赔形态下,两支主场豪门均有望顺利打出正路赛果。英超[微博]需要重点关注冷门的是斯旺西和西汉姆,前者主不败大热,后者主胜热度过高,在对应高赔风险的局面下,这两场主胜都存在疑问。德甲[微博]的沙尔克和弗赖堡是两场异常热度,主胜一致达到了九成以上的成交比例,同时对应胜赔在2.00左右的高风险区域,这两场无疑是冷意十足。另外多特、不来梅的赢球比例均高达七成以上,两场平局均呈现出无人问津的局面,看来冷平很有可能成为心理盲点,建议补防。
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
超级必发指数,由SPDEX.com必发指数网提供
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 768 |
1 | 维 拉 | VS | 埃弗顿 | $54 | 0% | $1,026 | 6% | $64,764 | 27% | 2.8 | 24 | 30 | 30 |
$68,359 | 100% | $13,450 | 77% | $109,953 | 45% | 3.4 | 50 | ||||||
$53 | 0% | $2,958 | 17% | $69,506 | 28% | 2.82 | 26 | ||||||
2 | 利物浦 | VS | 巡游者 | $109,807 | 89% | $29,346 | 78% | $325,491 | 70% | 1.4 | 28 | 3 | 3 |
$7,714 | 6% | $7,846 | 21% | $59,896 | 13% | 5.5 | 20 | ||||||
$6,026 | 5% | $198 | 1% | $81,766 | 18% | 10.5 | 52 | ||||||
3 | 桑德兰 | VS | 南安普 | $3,770 | 26% | $5,431 | 10% | $65,098 | 31% | 4.3 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
$6,110 | 43% | $42,039 | 80% | $32,657 | 16% | 3.4 | 18 | ||||||
$4,430 | 31% | $5,165 | 10% | $111,515 | 53% | 2.08 | 36 | ||||||
4 | 斯旺西 | VS | 斯托克 | $564 | 1% | $5,860 | 44% | $75,452 | 43% | 2.36 | 34 | 03 | 03 |
$41,148 | 97% | $5,577 | 42% | $70,924 | 40% | 3.4 | 46 | ||||||
$689 | 2% | $1,937 | 14% | $28,923 | 16% | 3.55 | 20 | ||||||
5 | 西汉姆 | VS | 伯恩利 | $1,363 | 2% | $110 | 1% | $78,619 | 51% | 2.3 | 40 | 013 | 01 |
$55,303 | 94% | $5,269 | 56% | $39,089 | 25% | 3.5 | 31 | ||||||
$2,453 | 4% | $3,977 | 43% | $35,808 | 23% | 3.6 | 29 | ||||||
6 | 曼 联 | VS | 西布罗 | $5,375 | 48% | $81,879 | 91% | $209,739 | 72% | 1.39 | 35 | 3 | 3 |
$533 | 5% | $6,518 | 7% | $62,136 | 21% | 5.3 | 40 | ||||||
$5,242 | 47% | $1,738 | 2% | $19,139 | 7% | 10 | 25 | ||||||
7 | 奥格斯 | VS | 科 隆 | $1,268 | 15% | $281 | 4% | $5,378 | 41% | 2.2 | 29 | 31 | 31 |
$6,033 | 73% | $6,589 | 90% | $524 | 4% | 3.5 | 5 | ||||||
$961 | 12% | $451 | 6% | $7,154 | 55% | 3.8 | 66 | ||||||
8 | 沙尔克 | VS | 斯图加 | $1,799 | 33% | $1,242 | 47% | $71,257 | 90% | 2 | 82 | 013 | 01 |
$447 | 9% | $556 | 21% | $592 | 1% | 3.9 | 1 | ||||||
$3,133 | 58% | $838 | 32% | $7,218 | 9% | 4.2 | 17 | ||||||
9 | 弗赖堡 | VS | 帕德博 | $1,508 | 42% | $37 | 2% | $36,050 | 95% | 2.02 | 92 | 013 | 01 |
$969 | 27% | $1,348 | 78% | $157 | 0% | 3.9 | 0 | ||||||
$1,115 | 31% | $337 | 20% | $1,567 | 4% | 4.2 | 8 | ||||||
10 | 霍芬海 | VS | 多 特 | $262 | 8% | $1,031 | 66% | $3,810 | 21% | 4.2 | 36 | 01 | 01 |
$1,129 | 37% | $496 | 31% | $743 | 4% | 4.1 | 7 | ||||||
$1,695 | 55% | $41 | 3% | $13,761 | 75% | 1.9 | 57 | ||||||
11 | 沃尔夫 | VS | 汉诺威 | $279 | 12% | $1,185 | 68% | $22,332 | 87% | 1.42 | 54 | 31 | 3 |
$886 | 38% | $43 | 3% | $739 | 3% | 5.4 | 7 | ||||||
$1,144 | 50% | $512 | 29% | $2,656 | 10% | 9 | 39 | ||||||
12 | 不来梅 | VS | 法兰克 | $100 | 9% | $906 | 32% | $23,107 | 72% | 2.26 | 62 | 310 | 310 |
$35 | 3% | $1,685 | 59% | $2,786 | 9% | 4 | 13 | ||||||
$986 | 88% | $271 | 9% | $6,215 | 19% | 3.45 | 25 | ||||||
13 | 勒 沃 | VS | 拜 仁 | $2,094 | 17% | $1,936 | 20% | $234,613 | 71% | 2.5 | 65 | 310 | 31 |
$9,263 | 75% | $7,133 | 75% | $49,298 | 15% | 3.45 | 19 | ||||||
$1,053 | 8% | $465 | 5% | $46,855 | 14% | 3.2 | 16 | ||||||
14 | 科尔多 | VS | 巴 萨 | $84 | 0% | $154 | 0% | $2,337 | 0% | 42 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
$363 | 0% | $1,149 | 0% | $2,588 | 0% | 14 | 1 | ||||||
$302,003 | 100% | $1,732,883 | 100% | $1,631,630 | 100% | 1.1 | 94 |
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