必发指数：莱万特谨慎防出冷 皇马德比热度超标
摘要：15004期胜负彩将竞猜西甲、国王杯、法甲与法乙四类赛事，从本期必发成交情况来看，主场作战的莱万特热度明显超标，冷门自然是重点防范对象。另外马德里德比，皇马在高危赔付区下同样有热度偏高的情况，本场冷门同样需要重点提防。
上期回顾：15003期胜负彩头奖开出500万，多场比赛都打出了心理冷门。从当期必发成交局面来看，意甲有多场比赛热度超标，包括AC米兰、尤文、佛罗伦萨、恩波利以及热那亚，这几场比赛的成交比例都超过了八成，最终这五场比赛全部是以冷门收场，其中AC米兰的主场输球更是杀伤力巨大。而足总杯的热刺，客胜比例也达到了7成，对应成交赔率也处于高危风险区，热刺不胜自然也在情理之中。埃弗顿VS西汉姆这场难点对话，数据呈现出胜负偏热，平局无人问津的局面，两队最终则是以平局收场。
本轮异常提示：15004期胜负彩将竞猜西甲、国王杯、法甲与法乙四类赛事，从本期必发成交情况来看，主场作战的莱万特热度明显超标，冷门自然是重点防范对象。另外马德里德比，皇马在高危赔付区下同样有热度偏高的情况，本场冷门同样需要重点提防。塞维利亚、马赛两支客场强队，前者成交比例达到85%，后者则是接近七成，不过两场成交赔率都在2.00以上的高风险区域，冷门概率极大。比利亚、巴伦西两场主胜热度虽然较高，但毕竟处于低赔付区域，主胜概率依然较高。
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 768 |
| 1 | 莱万特 | VS | 拉科鲁 | $1,685 | 46% | $12,851 | 78% | $28,449 | 85% | 2.26 | 78 | 103 | 10 |
| $1,899 | 52% | $3,351 | 21% | $4,055 | 12% | 3.35 | 17 | ||||||
| $74 | 2% | $202 | 1% | $1,096 | 3% | 3.9 | 5 | ||||||
| 2 | 比利亚 | VS | 社 会 | $7,630 | 71% | $14,703 | 93% | $262,511 | 88% | 1.59 | 66 | 3 | 3 |
| $2,476 | 24% | $222 | 1% | $15,196 | 5% | 4.4 | 10 | ||||||
| $567 | 5% | $952 | 6% | $21,071 | 7% | 7.2 | 24 | ||||||
| 3 | 马竞技 | VS | 皇 马 | $1,945 | 4% | $1,520 | 5% | $57,240 | 12% | 3.7 | 18 | 310 | 30 |
| $28,245 | 57% | $10,491 | 33% | $89,828 | 20% | 3.7 | 27 | ||||||
| $19,697 | 39% | $19,266 | 62% | $311,118 | 68% | 2.16 | 55 | ||||||
| 4 | 巴伦西 | VS | 西班人 | $10,978 | 74% | $6,196 | 51% | $143,801 | 82% | 1.54 | 53 | 31 | 3 |
| $1,719 | 12% | $5,487 | 44% | $14,176 | 8% | 4.5 | 14 | ||||||
| $2,144 | 14% | $567 | 5% | $17,857 | 10% | 8.2 | 33 | ||||||
| 5 | 阿尔梅 | VS | 赫塔费 | $7,656 | 40% | $46 | 0% | $15,890 | 46% | 2.66 | 41 | 301 | 30 |
| $9,296 | 48% | $31,985 | 96% | $11,791 | 34% | 3.3 | 38 | ||||||
| $2,328 | 12% | $1,346 | 4% | $6,794 | 20% | 3.2 | 21 | ||||||
| 6 | 格拉纳 | VS | 塞维利 | $2,454 | 41% | $559 | 18% | $2,603 | 13% | 4.4 | 23 | 103 | 10 |
| $93 | 2% | $1,941 | 63% | $386 | 2% | 3.5 | 3 | ||||||
| $3,384 | 57% | $596 | 19% | $17,570 | 85% | 2.04 | 74 | ||||||
| 7 | 巴 萨 | VS | 埃尔切 | $7,757 | 90% | $688,372 | 100% | $375,310 | 98% | 1.09 | 68 | 3 | 3 |
| $320 | 3% | $628 | 0% | $3,018 | 1% | 14.5 | 7 | ||||||
| $589 | 7% | $85 | 0% | $3,440 | 1% | 44 | 25 | ||||||
| 8 | 里 尔 | VS | 伊维恩 | $92 | 13% | $9,157 | 73% | $135,868 | 75% | 1.76 | 53 | 31 | 31 |
| $571 | 77% | $1,361 | 11% | $26,021 | 14% | 3.65 | 21 | ||||||
| $72 | 10% | $1,990 | 16% | $18,707 | 10% | 6.4 | 26 | ||||||
| 9 | 蒙彼利 | VS | 马 赛 | $552 | 9% | $62 | 2% | $873 | 3% | 3.75 | 4 | 301 | 301 |
| $4,889 | 78% | $1,626 | 45% | $8,658 | 28% | 3.4 | 37 | ||||||
| $783 | 13% | $1,932 | 53% | $21,018 | 69% | 2.26 | 59 | ||||||
| 10 | 阿雅克 | VS | 尼 姆 | $985 | 42% | $46 | 6% | $2,173 | 83% | 1.88 | 69 | 31 | 31 |
| $707 | 30% | $617 | 77% | $286 | 11% | 3.6 | 17 | ||||||
| $643 | 28% | $132 | 17% | $152 | 6% | 5.3 | 14 | ||||||
| 11 | 阿弗尔 | VS | 沙托鲁 | $985 | 42% | $46 | 6% | $3,946 | 60% | 1.68 | 28 | 3 | 3 |
| $874 | 37% | $564 | 71% | $790 | 12% | 3.85 | 13 | ||||||
| $506 | 21% | $183 | 23% | $1,868 | 28% | 7.4 | 59 | ||||||
| 12 | 尼奥尔 | VS | 阿雅GF | $592 | 22% | $318 | 21% | $2,085 | 38% | 1.99 | 21 | 31 | 3 |
| $1,237 | 46% | $1,013 | 68% | $486 | 9% | 3.55 | 9 | ||||||
| $856 | 32% | $159 | 11% | $2,869 | 53% | 4.7 | 70 | ||||||
| 13 | 克莱蒙 | VS | 拉瓦勒 | $540 | 31% | $580 | 24% | $154 | 4% | 2.4 | 3 | 301 | 30 |
| $369 | 21% | $1,451 | 60% | $3,893 | 93% | 3.2 | 93 | ||||||
| $838 | 48% | $398 | 16% | $147 | 4% | 3.8 | 4 | ||||||
| 14 | 第 戎 | VS | 图 尔 | $847 | 59% | $46 | 5% | $3,043 | 83% | 1.6 | 54 | 31 | 31 |
| $46 | 3% | $864 | 88% | $219 | 6% | 4 | 10 | ||||||
| $543 | 38% | $69 | 7% | $394 | 11% | 8.4 | 36 |
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
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