必发指数：切尔西赔付合理稳胜 桑德兰存拿分机会
上期回顾：14165期头奖奖金为35万，大冷场次并不多，必发指数栏目憾错西班牙VS德国，命中二等奖。从当期必发指数来看，冷门场次捕捉比较到位，墨西哥客胜录得97%的大热比例，墨西哥状态形象全面占优的情况下，成交负赔处于偏高的区间，冷负收场自然不难预见。热度超标的是波兰VS瑞士，主胜明显过度偏热，最终则是打出了关注度最低的平局。葡萄牙VS阿根廷，作为一场强强对话，葡萄牙在状态不落下风的情况下，阿根廷赢球居然是高达87%，如此异常的热度分布，对阿根廷赢球自然极其不利，最终是葡萄牙爆冷击败世界杯亚军。
本轮异常提示：周六胜负彩竞猜英超+德甲，从当前成交数据来看，在选择博胆方面，可考虑热度正常的斯托克、以及合理低赔区的切尔西、拜仁、曼城以及多特。埃弗顿、莱切城主胜都达到了84%的成交比例，前者主胜在合理低位区间，放到冷平足矣，而后者主胜区间明显偏高，本场甚至可直扑冷门。阿森纳VS曼联这场焦点战，本场主胜热度明显过高，需重点关注无人问津的冷平。德甲方面，沃尔夫做客沙尔克是热度最为异常的比赛，客胜热度高达81%，明显不符情理，同样热度异常的还有客场作战的勒沃，汉诺威状态彪炳，勒沃走势疲软，而本场却受到一致追捧，显然是不利于勒沃赢球的表现。本期在选择博胆方面，可考虑热度正常的斯托克、以及合理低赔区的切尔西、拜仁、曼城以及多特。(盛亦发)
超级必发指数，由SPDEX必发指数网提供
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 864 |
| 1 | 切尔西 | VS | 西布罗 | $37,413 | 73% | $121,496 | 98% | $2,647,603 | 97% | 1.26 | 81 | 3 | 3 |
| $12,666 | 25% | $591 | 0% | $63,071 | 2% | 7.2 | 12 | ||||||
| $1,191 | 2% | $1,837 | 1% | $16,866 | 1% | 17.5 | 7 | ||||||
| 2 | 埃弗顿 | VS | 西汉姆 | $13,907 | 64% | $26,551 | 82% | $770,452 | 84% | 1.87 | 68 | 31 | 31 |
| $381 | 2% | $5,618 | 17% | $66,366 | 7% | 3.85 | 13 | ||||||
| $7,394 | 34% | $272 | 1% | $80,780 | 9% | 4.9 | 19 | ||||||
| 3 | 莱切城 | VS | 桑德兰 | $16,358 | 77% | $1,451 | 5% | $1,442,740 | 84% | 2.14 | 75 | 013 | 01 |
| $4,232 | 20% | $21,418 | 71% | $145,047 | 8% | 3.55 | 12 | ||||||
| $651 | 3% | $7,254 | 24% | $133,232 | 8% | 4 | 13 | ||||||
| 4 | 曼 城 | VS | 斯旺西 | $51,416 | 96% | $54,026 | 87% | $869,245 | 83% | 1.41 | 49 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,856 | 3% | $4,463 | 7% | $106,604 | 10% | 5.5 | 23 | ||||||
| $158 | 0% | $3,709 | 6% | $74,126 | 7% | 9.2 | 28 | ||||||
| 5 | 纽卡斯 | VS | 巡游者 | $4,484 | 48% | $7,965 | 51% | $403,622 | 69% | 1.85 | 48 | 31 | 31 |
| $4,665 | 50% | $3,546 | 23% | $82,591 | 14% | 3.8 | 20 | ||||||
| $194 | 2% | $4,006 | 26% | $96,021 | 16% | 5.1 | 32 | ||||||
| 6 | 斯托克 | VS | 伯恩利 | $4,616 | 35% | $3,283 | 41% | $136,464 | 60% | 1.72 | 34 | 3 | 3 |
| $2,179 | 16% | $3,540 | 44% | $46,511 | 21% | 3.95 | 27 | ||||||
| $6,579 | 49% | $1,220 | 15% | $43,332 | 19% | 6.2 | 39 | ||||||
| 7 | 阿森纳 | VS | 曼 联 | $1,653 | 4% | $37,205 | 68% | $1,476,191 | 79% | 2.2 | 70 | 103 | 10 |
| $32,790 | 86% | $13,432 | 25% | $131,857 | 7% | 3.7 | 10 | ||||||
| $3,649 | 10% | $4,147 | 8% | $261,630 | 14% | 3.6 | 20 | ||||||
| 8 | 门 兴 | VS | 法兰克 | $1,239 | 49% | $304 | 14% | $30,040 | 91% | 1.47 | 74 | 310 | 30 |
| $1,052 | 42% | $930 | 43% | $2,495 | 8% | 5.1 | 22 | ||||||
| $214 | 9% | $933 | 43% | $331 | 1% | 7.8 | 4 | ||||||
| 9 | 拜 仁 | VS | 霍芬海 | $2,076 | 45% | $96,084 | 99% | $308,149 | 92% | 1.19 | 47 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,149 | 25% | $507 | 1% | $16,014 | 5% | 9.4 | 20 | ||||||
| $1,418 | 31% | $33 | 0% | $11,838 | 4% | 19.5 | 33 | ||||||
| 10 | 沙尔克 | VS | 沃尔夫 | $4,552 | 45% | $2,435 | 10% | $11,863 | 7% | 3.25 | 9 | 310 | 30 |
| $2,172 | 22% | $18,422 | 77% | $19,634 | 12% | 3.6 | 16 | ||||||
| $3,343 | 33% | $3,045 | 13% | $135,432 | 81% | 2.36 | 75 | ||||||
| 11 | 美因茨 | VS | 弗赖堡 | $145 | 17% | $964 | 9% | $7,840 | 44% | 2.22 | 32 | 310 | 31 |
| $496 | 58% | $8,827 | 81% | $3,636 | 20% | 3.55 | 24 | ||||||
| $222 | 26% | $1,049 | 10% | $6,301 | 35% | 3.7 | 44 | ||||||
| 12 | 汉诺威 | VS | 勒 沃 | $1,041 | 23% | $530 | 8% | $10,695 | 5% | 4.1 | 10 | 310 | 310 |
| $2,324 | 52% | $3,592 | 53% | $14,229 | 7% | 3.75 | 11 | ||||||
| $1,074 | 24% | $2,641 | 39% | $180,225 | 88% | 2 | 79 | ||||||
| 13 | 帕德博 | VS | 多 特 | $516 | 5% | $964 | 4% | $2,999 | 4% | 7.8 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| $1,536 | 15% | $438 | 2% | $4,990 | 7% | 5 | 17 | ||||||
| $7,874 | 79% | $20,908 | 94% | $62,367 | 89% | 1.48 | 65 | ||||||
| 14 | 科 隆 | VS | 赫 塔 | $1,198 | 51% | $2,522 | 20% | $11,583 | 57% | 2.26 | 45 | 130 | 13 |
| $925 | 40% | $8,852 | 71% | $4,240 | 21% | 3.5 | 25 | ||||||
| $213 | 9% | $1,039 | 8% | $4,527 | 22% | 3.65 | 30 |
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
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