必发指数：保加利亚大热需防冷 意大利或被逼平
上期回顾：14120期欧预赛+巴甲竞猜打出了多场冷门，其中热度明显偏高的匈牙利、葡萄牙都以冷负收场，前者主胜成交比例多达80%，后者更是超过了九成，大冷捕捉虽有难度，但冷意已提前有所察觉。希腊VS罗马尼亚这场同级别对话，主胜也录得了近七成的成交率，最终希腊主场告负，打出了不足一成的客胜冷门。巴甲方面，低热的米内罗、圣保罗都是以正路收场，大热的科林蒂、巴拉竞则都未能赢球，而巴国际则是在客胜无人问津的情况下打出冷负，杀伤力不小。
本轮异常提示：14121期胜负彩同样是竞猜欧预赛+巴甲组合，从当期成交情况来看，客场大热的保加利亚、荷兰与土耳其都是需重点防范冷门的对象，尤其是保加利亚和荷兰，热度有明显超标的情况。强弱悬殊分明的波黑、克罗地亚以及威尔士理应没有冷意，不过需重点防范意大利做客挪威，客胜大热之下设防力度不足，冷平需防范。巴甲方面，热度明显偏高的帕尔梅是重点防冷对象，另外还包括科里蒂、弗拉门，都有一定的冷门味道，新浪爱彩建议补防为宜。
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。
超级必发指数，由SPDEX.com必发指数网提供
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 1536 |
| 1 | 阿塞拜 | VS | 保加利 | $502 | 5% | $4,141 | 1% | $42,466 | 3% | 4.1 | 6 | 310 | 31 |
| $416 | 4% | $12,495 | 3% | $113,206 | 9% | 3.3 | 12 | ||||||
| $8,605 | 90% | $381,737 | 96% | $1,146,391 | 88% | 2.18 | 82 | ||||||
| 2 | 捷 克 | VS | 荷 兰 | $5,736 | 44% | $6,171 | 73% | $31,569 | 7% | 4.7 | 14 | 310 | 31 |
| $7,241 | 55% | $1,397 | 16% | $30,989 | 7% | 3.65 | 10 | ||||||
| $100 | 1% | $902 | 11% | $401,876 | 87% | 1.99 | 76 | ||||||
| 3 | 冰 岛 | VS | 土耳其 | $721 | 29% | $561 | 7% | $19,658 | 10% | 4.2 | 15 | 103 | 10 |
| $1,650 | 67% | $4,869 | 63% | $52,647 | 26% | 3.55 | 35 | ||||||
| $98 | 4% | $2,352 | 30% | $128,602 | 64% | 2.1 | 50 | ||||||
| 4 | 安道尔 | VS | 威尔士 | $70 | 0% | $53 | 0% | $11,749 | 2% | 26 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| $278 | 0% | $800 | 0% | $37,331 | 6% | 9.4 | 26 | ||||||
| $65,664 | 99% | $190,627 | 100% | $595,600 | 92% | 1.16 | 51 | ||||||
| 5 | 波 黑 | VS | 塞浦路 | $26,395 | 96% | $22,265 | 92% | $212,726 | 91% | 1.21 | 50 | 3 | 3 |
| $37 | 0% | $207 | 1% | $13,331 | 6% | 7.4 | 21 | ||||||
| $1,203 | 4% | $1,666 | 7% | $7,378 | 3% | 20 | 29 | ||||||
| 6 | 克罗地 | VS | 马耳他 | $377,293 | 100% | $166,310 | 100% | $635,727 | 99% | 1.07 | 77 | 3 | 3 |
| $174 | 0% | $138 | 0% | $3,178 | 0% | 17 | 6 | ||||||
| $142 | 0% | $328 | 0% | $2,021 | 0% | 80 | 17 | ||||||
| 7 | 挪 威 | VS | 意大利 | $2,546 | 19% | $13,092 | 69% | $89,406 | 14% | 5.7 | 29 | 013 | 01 |
| $6,427 | 49% | $336 | 2% | $101,422 | 15% | 3.6 | 21 | ||||||
| $4,247 | 32% | $5,670 | 30% | $467,127 | 71% | 1.83 | 50 | ||||||
| 8 | 费古埃 | VS | 弗鲁米 | $51 | 2% | $624 | 19% | $199 | 57% | 1.86 | 41 | 31 | 31 |
| $1,999 | 89% | $2,555 | 78% | $36 | 11% | 5.1 | 21 | ||||||
| $190 | 8% | $87 | 3% | $111 | 32% | 2.52 | 38 | ||||||
| 9 | 格雷米 | VS | 巴拉竞 | $31 | 4% | $44 | 32% | $102 | 56% | 1.71 | 37 | 3 | 3 |
| $772 | 92% | $47 | 34% | $80 | 44% | 3.7 | 63 | ||||||
| $40 | 5% | $47 | 34% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 10 | 帕尔梅 | VS | 克里西 | $321 | 71% | $234 | 22% | $3,172 | 98% | 1.83 | 95 | 310 | 31 |
| $130 | 29% | $480 | 45% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $0 | 0% | $356 | 33% | $50 | 2% | 5.8 | 5 | ||||||
| 11 | 累体育 | VS | 桑托斯 | $190 | 18% | $190 | 41% | $379 | 50% | 2.82 | 49 | 103 | 103 |
| $800 | 77% | $82 | 18% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $44 | 4% | $190 | 41% | $377 | 50% | 2.94 | 51 | ||||||
| 12 | 科里蒂 | VS | 沙佩科 | $232 | 57% | $247 | 62% | $164 | 100% | 1.83 | 100 | 310 | 31 |
| $100 | 25% | $107 | 27% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $75 | 18% | $47 | 12% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 13 | 戈亚斯 | VS | 弗拉门 | $100 | 23% | $631 | 9% | $2,829 | 12% | 3.1 | 13 | 310 | 31 |
| $130 | 30% | $5,209 | 75% | $62 | 0% | 3.2 | 0 | ||||||
| $200 | 47% | $1,132 | 16% | $21,487 | 88% | 2.58 | 87 | ||||||
| 14 | 博塔弗 | VS | 圣保罗 | $861 | 74% | $403 | 12% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 30 | 30 |
| $118 | 10% | $975 | 30% | $989 | 65% | 3.55 | 78 | ||||||
| $190 | 16% | $1,849 | 57% | $521 | 35% | 2.06 | 22 |
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