必发指数：维京主胜头号稳胆 斯达大热谨防不胜
上期回顾：上周末英超[微博]和德甲[微博]都是最后一轮。周六的德甲末轮收官战，勒沃、奥格斯堡形势上必须争胜，大热也是在所难免，在赔率设防到位的情况下，冷门也是无迹可寻。国米[微博]、埃蒂安的热度都是高热成交状态，不过后期欧亚设防力度非常清晰，最终两强同样都是以赢球告终。切尔西[微博]、利物浦[微博]和曼城[微博]是周日彩三场优势明显的对阵，从必发成交数据来看，曼城虽然成交量巨大，但80%的主胜成交比例并未达到大热的情况，利物浦热度最高，但成交赔率也在合理低位，而切尔西客胜只有75%，低热之下也顺利打出正路赛果。
本轮异常提示：周五彩截稿前法乙成交数据寥寥无几，那么本期必发指数栏目将重点针对挪超赛事进行分析。斯达VS瓦勒伦加是一场形势胶着的对阵形势，但主胜成交率高达82%明显偏高，冷门需要重点提防。莫尔德做客近况不俗的利勒斯，客胜热度较低，作为最高赔的主胜成为了第一热门，显然这场冷门的概率非常有限。罗森博、斯特罗和维京都是优势明朗的对阵，这三场主胜赔率都在清晰低位，其中维京更是平局热度高于主胜，无疑是本期第一稳胆之选。海于松VS奥德这场难点对阵，平局大热且对应成交赔率明显偏高，是典型的30格局。
必发指数查看方法：成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据，比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较，热门方比例是否合理是关键，如果让球方成交比例过热，则要注意强队爆冷；但如本应较热，但却成交比例强队反而较低，强队必是稳胆。另外，买方数据与卖方数据的对比，买家比例与卖家比例的对比，都可判断球队注码走向，判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。(盛亦发)
| 序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 864 |
| 1 | 阿弗尔 | VS | 阿尔勒 | $74 | 57% | $74 | 17% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 301 | 301 |
| $29 | 22% | $194 | 45% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $27 | 21% | $163 | 38% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 2 | 欧塞尔 | VS | 南 锡 | $74 | 42% | $74 | 21% | $17 | 100% | 2.6 | 100 | 30 | 30 |
| $29 | 16% | $207 | 58% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $74 | 42% | $74 | 21% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 3 | CA巴斯 | VS | 朗 斯 | $27 | 13% | $60 | 16% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| $29 | 14% | $130 | 34% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $155 | 74% | $193 | 50% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 4 | 特鲁瓦 | VS | 尼奥尔 | $74 | 57% | $98 | 19% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | 310 | 310 |
| $29 | 22% | $194 | 38% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $27 | 21% | $222 | 43% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 5 | 拉瓦勒 | VS | 梅 斯 | $51 | 48% | $74 | 24% | $51 | 25% | 2.28 | 26 | 13 | 13 |
| $29 | 27% | $194 | 61% | $3 | 1% | 3.45 | 2 | ||||||
| $27 | 26% | $47 | 15% | $147 | 73% | 3.75 | 72 | ||||||
| 6 | 图 尔 | VS | 克莱蒙 | $74 | 57% | $74 | 17% | $8 | 100% | 1.75 | 100 | 310 | 31 |
| $29 | 22% | $190 | 42% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $27 | 21% | $186 | 41% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 7 | 奥勒松 | VS | 松达尔 | $1,138 | 45% | $109 | 12% | $337 | 57% | 1.76 | 30 | 31 | 3 |
| $1,309 | 51% | $154 | 17% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $109 | 4% | $670 | 72% | $256 | 43% | 5.4 | 70 | ||||||
| 8 | 斯 达 | VS | 瓦勒伦 | $872 | 43% | $150 | 11% | $9,167 | 82% | 2.3 | 74 | 103 | 103 |
| $565 | 28% | $168 | 12% | $602 | 5% | 3.85 | 8 | ||||||
| $598 | 29% | $1,107 | 78% | $1,383 | 12% | 3.4 | 18 | ||||||
| 9 | 利勒斯 | VS | 莫尔德 | $734 | 30% | $744 | 39% | $4,312 | 40% | 4.2 | 49 | 01 | 0 |
| $734 | 30% | $168 | 9% | $2,898 | 27% | 3.7 | 30 | ||||||
| $978 | 40% | $989 | 52% | $3,508 | 33% | 2.1 | 21 | ||||||
| 10 | 罗森博 | VS | 斯塔贝 | $1,568 | 50% | $1,381 | 64% | $1,173 | 95% | 1.35 | 71 | 3 | 3 |
| $290 | 9% | $97 | 5% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| $1,278 | 41% | $670 | 31% | $62 | 5% | 10.5 | 29 | ||||||
| 11 | 布 兰 | VS | 博 德 | $31 | 2% | $47 | 5% | $236 | 31% | 1.85 | 16 | 31 | 31 |
| $585 | 30% | $152 | 17% | $64 | 8% | 4.1 | 9 | ||||||
| $1,308 | 68% | $691 | 78% | $457 | 60% | 4.6 | 75 | ||||||
| 12 | 斯特罗 | VS | 萨 堡 | $496 | 22% | $2,921 | 76% | $9,002 | 80% | 1.47 | 45 | 3 | 3 |
| $681 | 30% | $219 | 6% | $489 | 4% | 5.1 | 9 | ||||||
| $1,117 | 49% | $702 | 18% | $1,732 | 15% | 7.4 | 46 | ||||||
| 13 | 维 京 | VS | 桑内斯 | $287 | 18% | $282 | 38% | $62 | 15% | 1.34 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| $1,309 | 81% | $99 | 13% | $343 | 85% | 5.7 | 96 | ||||||
| $27 | 2% | $369 | 49% | $0 | 0% | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 海于松 | VS | 奥 德 | $53 | 16% | $237 | 63% | $22 | 1% | 2.94 | 1 | 30 | 30 |
| $236 | 69% | $39 | 11% | $2,297 | 85% | 3.5 | 88 | ||||||
| $53 | 16% | $99 | 26% | $394 | 15% | 2.5 | 11 |
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