上期回顾:上周末头奖仅仅有3.9万,奖金不高,自然冷门场次也相对较少。该期难点主要是在于英冠的多场平局,因截稿前英冠成交资金较少,这也令笔者在查尔顿、沃特福德和维冈三场比赛的平局判断中出现失误。英超[微博]方面,维拉、加的夫的平局还是有比较清晰的支持,维拉是两头热,平局成交不足两成,平局打出自然也是顺理成章,而加的夫VS桑德兰的成交情况同样如此,看来今后对待成交两头热的比赛,平局的防范价值的确是比较高的。
本轮异常提示:从本期英超成交状况来看,大热的比赛主要有两场:阿森纳[微博]和利物浦[微博]。利物浦的对手赫尔城上轮是大比分击败富勒姆,理应受到一定关注,但不难发现在圣诞赛程表现不佳的利物浦,在成交热度上反而超过了表现更优异的阿森纳,看来阿森纳更值选胆,而利物浦则存在一定的冷门概率。切尔西[微博]和埃弗顿做客,客胜热度都达到了78%,这是比较异常的情况,毕竟对手都有较强的主场战绩,两强如此受到高看,自然冷门值得补防一手。曼联[微博]VS热刺[微博]是一场强强对话,主胜热度超过七成,平局却不足一成,谨慎起见补一手平局更妥。水晶宫VS诺维奇则是两支下游球队的PK,但成交热度却呈现出一边倒的走势,同样也不利于水晶宫本场赢球。
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩[微博]的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。(盛亦发)
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 1024 |
1 | 阿森纳 | VS | 加的夫 | $171,716 | 97% | $134,921 | 97% | $1,012,310 | 90% | 1.26 | 54 | 3 | 3 |
$2,399 | 1% | $1,786 | 1% | $75,766 | 7% | 6.8 | 22 | ||||||
$2,650 | 1% | $2,175 | 2% | $32,297 | 3% | 18 | 25 | ||||||
2 | 水晶宫 | VS | 诺维奇 | $365 | 1% | $9,998 | 33% | $123,747 | 70% | 2.46 | 62 | 013 | 03 |
$67,131 | 99% | $13,461 | 45% | $48,517 | 27% | 3.35 | 34 | ||||||
$128 | 0% | $6,437 | 22% | $5,306 | 3% | 3.35 | 4 | ||||||
3 | 富勒姆 | VS | 西汉姆 | $2,993 | 5% | $2,584 | 17% | $102,542 | 27% | 2.48 | 22 | 30 | 3 |
$48,019 | 88% | $7,169 | 48% | $164,834 | 43% | 3.45 | 47 | ||||||
$3,814 | 7% | $5,066 | 34% | $119,062 | 31% | 3.2 | 31 | ||||||
4 | 利物浦 | VS | 赫尔城 | $179,251 | 94% | $59,249 | 91% | $1,564,299 | 96% | 1.3 | 74 | 31 | 3 |
$11,411 | 6% | $2,927 | 4% | $31,916 | 2% | 6.6 | 8 | ||||||
$493 | 0% | $3,080 | 5% | $38,563 | 2% | 12 | 18 | ||||||
5 | 南安普 | VS | 切尔西 | $2,421 | 48% | $9,745 | 14% | $110,659 | 12% | 4.2 | 22 | 01 | 01 |
$986 | 20% | $23,650 | 35% | $86,757 | 10% | 3.7 | 15 | ||||||
$1,625 | 32% | $33,898 | 50% | $697,266 | 78% | 2.04 | 63 | ||||||
6 | 斯托克 | VS | 埃弗顿 | $1,353 | 7% | $3,093 | 16% | $7,229 | 4% | 4.3 | 6 | 013 | 01 |
$13,435 | 72% | $16,662 | 84% | $38,232 | 19% | 3.5 | 27 | ||||||
$3,785 | 20% | $94 | 0% | $160,014 | 78% | 2.1 | 67 | ||||||
7 | 桑德兰 | VS | 维 拉 | $3,564 | 11% | $1,260 | 4% | $65,569 | 44% | 2.2 | 32 | 13 | 13 |
$26,678 | 85% | $32,337 | 96% | $26,956 | 18% | 3.5 | 21 | ||||||
$1,315 | 4% | $167 | 0% | $57,408 | 38% | 3.85 | 48 | ||||||
8 | 西布罗 | VS | 纽卡斯 | $2,237 | 3% | $3,584 | 4% | $44,136 | 16% | 2.58 | 13 | 310 | 31 |
$55,049 | 85% | $90,158 | 92% | $101,034 | 36% | 3.45 | 40 | ||||||
$7,296 | 11% | $4,245 | 4% | $134,863 | 48% | 3.05 | 47 | ||||||
9 | 曼 联 | VS | 热 刺 | $26,925 | 24% | $16,132 | 40% | $716,429 | 73% | 1.82 | 50 | 13 | 13 |
$81,383 | 72% | $19,004 | 47% | $93,053 | 9% | 4 | 15 | ||||||
$4,047 | 4% | $5,478 | 13% | $174,483 | 18% | 5 | 36 | ||||||
10 | 伯恩利 | VS | 哈德斯 | $289 | 17% | $610 | 16% | $27,607 | 48% | 1.99 | 30 | 31 | 31 |
$89 | 5% | $2,915 | 78% | $13,520 | 23% | 3.75 | 27 | ||||||
$1,341 | 78% | $212 | 6% | $16,605 | 29% | 4.7 | 44 | ||||||
11 | 德比郡 | VS | 维 冈 | $1,019 | 59% | $353 | 26% | $27,676 | 74% | 2.16 | 62 | 13 | 13 |
$697 | 41% | $965 | 71% | $1,802 | 5% | 3.65 | 7 | ||||||
$0 | 0% | $38 | 3% | $7,782 | 21% | 3.95 | 31 | ||||||
12 | 利 兹 | VS | 布莱克 | $26 | 0% | $1,034 | 25% | $18,479 | 64% | 2.24 | 53 | 310 | 30 |
$6,126 | 93% | $2,558 | 62% | $9,592 | 33% | 3.45 | 43 | ||||||
$470 | 7% | $512 | 12% | $1,030 | 4% | 3.55 | 5 | ||||||
13 | 巡游者 | VS | 唐卡斯 | $3,433 | 73% | $9,004 | 86% | $45,937 | 57% | 1.36 | 18 | 3 | 3 |
$75 | 2% | $732 | 7% | $19,239 | 24% | 5.3 | 28 | ||||||
$1,201 | 26% | $693 | 7% | $15,959 | 20% | 12 | 55 | ||||||
14 | 雷 丁 | VS | 诺丁汉 | $353 | 5% | $992 | 5% | $1,555 | 10% | 2.84 | 9 | 310 | 30 |
$5,829 | 90% | $19,403 | 93% | $7,528 | 47% | 3.4 | 52 | ||||||
$264 | 4% | $408 | 2% | $7,042 | 44% | 2.78 | 39 |