上期回顾:周二彩世预赛胜负彩头奖不足五千,普遍大盘都打出了正路赛果,冷点很少,难点比赛也不多。从当期必发数据来看,虽然很多成交大热的比赛都打出了正路赛果,但由于国家队赛事的特殊性,以及成交赔率普遍偏低,大面积正路赛果也合情合理。不过国家队比赛仍有难点对阵,例如罗马尼亚VS土耳其,两队都是欧洲的准强队,形势上主队要力保不败,客队则必须争胜。而这场主队明显处于偏热状态,客胜明显未受关注,客胜也在必发数据上得到了冷门的提示。挪威VS瑞士同样也是一场难点对阵,形势上必须争胜,但瑞士可接受平局,但不可输球。成交数据上,主胜和平局都录得了较高的热度,客胜关注度最低,最终瑞士也在客场完胜对手,而笔者这场填单失误而因此错失头奖,实属遗憾。
本轮异常提示:周六重回英德意的大联赛模式,早期必发成交市场也相当火爆。英超方面,前两场维拉和富勒姆都是主胜热度较高的比赛,富勒姆热度略高不难理解,但成交胜赔2.20明显过高,而维拉VS纽卡本为一场同级别球队的难点对阵,形成了一边倒的热度同样存在出冷的可能性。另外客场位的阿森纳成交比例高达94%,过高的热度看来是与较为可观的赔付直接挂钩,枪手存在不胜的可能性。埃弗顿VS切尔西,穆帅带领的蓝军是本季夺冠热门,客队较热也在情理之中,但客胜成交赔率有明显偏高之嫌,看来本场冷意十足。另外尤文做客国米也是一场冷点赛事,客胜热度已达七成以上,但成交赔率2.22并不低调,客胜恐怕难度不小。(盛亦发)
序 | 主队 | VS | 客队 | 买家挂牌 | 买家比例 | 卖家挂牌 | 卖家比例 | 成交总额 | 成交比例 | 赔率 | 必发指数 | 过滤大单 | 1024 |
1 | 维 拉 | VS | 纽卡斯 | $54,130 | 53% | $11,902 | 20% | $704,354 | 78% | 2.18 | 69 | 103 | 10 |
$21,147 | 21% | $46,046 | 77% | $106,238 | 12% | 3.5 | 16 | ||||||
$25,933 | 26% | $1,575 | 3% | $87,167 | 10% | 3.9 | 15 | ||||||
2 | 富勒姆 | VS | 西布罗 | $7,406 | 33% | $5,900 | 65% | $260,799 | 68% | 2.2 | 56 | 10 | 10 |
$9,315 | 42% | $2,013 | 22% | $51,959 | 14% | 3.5 | 18 | ||||||
$5,570 | 25% | $1,144 | 13% | $69,418 | 18% | 3.75 | 26 | ||||||
3 | 赫尔城 | VS | 加的夫 | $24,778 | 35% | $3,465 | 27% | $61,869 | 39% | 2.5 | 32 | 310 | 30 |
$43,308 | 61% | $3,851 | 30% | $73,770 | 46% | 3.35 | 52 | ||||||
$2,626 | 4% | $5,407 | 42% | $23,811 | 15% | 3.3 | 16 | ||||||
4 | 斯托克 | VS | 曼 城 | $16,188 | 82% | $5,052 | 55% | $49,007 | 8% | 6.2 | 21 | 01 | 01 |
$2,650 | 13% | $1,868 | 20% | $71,357 | 12% | 3.95 | 20 | ||||||
$960 | 5% | $2,318 | 25% | $499,162 | 81% | 1.7 | 59 | ||||||
5 | 桑德兰 | VS | 阿森纳 | $7,851 | 8% | $550 | 5% | $31,763 | 2% | 6.4 | 8 | 013 | 01 |
$12,834 | 13% | $5,373 | 49% | $47,194 | 3% | 3.95 | 7 | ||||||
$81,840 | 80% | $5,137 | 46% | $1,311,889 | 94% | 1.69 | 85 | ||||||
6 | 热 刺 | VS | 诺维奇 | $19,539 | 83% | $3,797 | 27% | $337,373 | 80% | 1.48 | 46 | 3 | 3 |
$2,750 | 12% | $9,926 | 71% | $46,007 | 11% | 4.7 | 20 | ||||||
$1,302 | 6% | $309 | 2% | $39,929 | 9% | 9 | 33 | ||||||
7 | 埃弗顿 | VS | 切尔西 | $36,890 | 18% | $530 | 1% | $157,543 | 12% | 3.5 | 15 | 310 | 31 |
$122,541 | 61% | $11,369 | 27% | $282,590 | 21% | 3.45 | 26 | ||||||
$42,408 | 21% | $30,850 | 72% | $926,557 | 68% | 2.36 | 59 | ||||||
8 | 勒 沃 | VS | 沃尔夫 | $4,554 | 57% | $4,169 | 52% | $33,920 | 78% | 1.81 | 61 | 31 | 3 |
$2,226 | 28% | $2,738 | 34% | $8,294 | 19% | 4.1 | 33 | ||||||
$1,204 | 15% | $1,069 | 13% | $1,496 | 3% | 4.8 | 7 | ||||||
9 | 奥格斯 | VS | 弗赖堡 | $463 | 24% | $3,472 | 59% | $30,608 | 51% | 2.12 | 38 | 31 | 31 |
$304 | 16% | $1,151 | 19% | $27,121 | 45% | 3.55 | 57 | ||||||
$1,148 | 60% | $1,287 | 22% | $2,436 | 4% | 4 | 6 | ||||||
10 | 拜 仁 | VS | 汉诺威 | $4,830 | 94% | $400,724 | 100% | $604,283 | 99% | 1.14 | 90 | 3 | 3 |
$250 | 5% | $1,037 | 0% | $3,317 | 1% | 11 | 5 | ||||||
$83 | 2% | $536 | 0% | $1,411 | 0% | 30 | 5 | ||||||
11 | 美因茨 | VS | 沙尔克 | $2,575 | 33% | $715 | 14% | $6,745 | 18% | 2.78 | 16 | 30 | 30 |
$3,733 | 48% | $3,514 | 68% | $13,831 | 37% | 3.6 | 44 | ||||||
$1,421 | 18% | $910 | 18% | $16,495 | 44% | 2.72 | 40 | ||||||
12 | 不来梅 | VS | 法兰克 | $32 | 0% | $1,628 | 34% | $7,921 | 33% | 2.56 | 27 | 30 | 30 |
$9,219 | 89% | $2,383 | 50% | $10,550 | 43% | 3.55 | 50 | ||||||
$1,073 | 10% | $767 | 16% | $5,806 | 24% | 3.05 | 23 | ||||||
13 | 多 特 | VS | 汉 堡 | $11,834 | 95% | $42 | 1% | $88,098 | 90% | 1.3 | 57 | 3 | 3 |
$404 | 3% | $694 | 22% | $7,410 | 8% | 7 | 26 | ||||||
$261 | 2% | $2,417 | 77% | $2,753 | 3% | 13 | 18 | ||||||
14 | 国 米 | VS | 尤 文 | $853 | 9% | $1,643 | 4% | $30,452 | 17% | 3.8 | 26 | 310 | 31 |
$1,094 | 12% | $1,275 | 3% | $15,472 | 9% | 3.45 | 12 | ||||||
$7,467 | 79% | $34,339 | 92% | $128,829 | 74% | 2.22 | 63 |
必发指数查看方法:成交比例是交易所较为重要的数据,比例与球队的基本面、欧赔的热门方胜率相比较,热门方比例是否合理是关键,如果让球方成交比例过热,则要注意强队爆冷;但如本应较热,但却成交比例强队反而较低,强队必是稳胆。另外,买方数据与卖方数据的对比,买家比例与卖家比例的对比,都可判断球队注码走向,判断比赛走势。交易所热量对足彩的冷门判断、选取胆材都很有帮助。