06/07法甲联赛本周末开战,足彩进球游戏的竞猜对象也转移到了法甲,总体看,法甲的进球数要明显少于意甲、英超,因此竞猜的难度相对小一些,0球和1球的比例应该适当增加。
从下表可以看出,法甲上赛季主队进0球的几率是29.7%,远高于意甲的20.5%,具体到进球彩的6场比赛中,平均每期6支主队中有2支进不了球。除此之外,法甲主队的2球和3+球的比例,也都大大低于意甲的水平。
法甲的客队进球能力更差,上赛季不进球的几率是43.2%,意甲仅为32.6,每期进球彩约有3支客队无法进球。法甲客队打进2球和3+球的几率是13.2%和6.8%,而意甲这两项数据为21.6%和10.0%。也就是说,法甲客队进球超过1球的可能性只有20%,那么每期进球彩客队的进球平均只有1场会出现1球以上的情况,爆冷的可能性大大减少。
总进球数
|
05/06
|
04/05
|
意甲
|
991
|
960
|
英超
|
944
|
975
|
西甲
|
936
|
980
|
法甲
|
811
|
826
|
法甲主队
|
05/06
|
04/05
|
03/04
|
02/03
|
01/02
|
0
|
29.7%
|
26.3%
|
26.3%
|
26.6%
|
21.2%
|
1
|
35.3%
|
35.0%
|
33.7%
|
35.0%
|
31.4%
|
2
|
20.8%
|
23.9%
|
22.1%
|
22.9%
|
29.4%
|
3+
|
14.2%
|
14.7%
|
17.9%
|
15.5%
|
18.0%
|
意甲主队
|
05/06
|
04/05
|
03/04
|
02/03
|
01/02
|
0
|
20.5%
|
23.2%
|
23.9%
|
21.9%
|
19.3%
|
1
|
36.3%
|
33.7%
|
32.0%
|
32.0%
|
35.9%
|
2
|
24.2%
|
25.5%
|
23.2%
|
27.5%
|
25.8%
|
3+
|
18.9%
|
17.6%
|
20.9%
|
18.6%
|
19.0%
|
法甲客队
|
05/06
|
04/05
|
03/04
|
02/03
|
01/02
|
0
|
43.2%
|
44.2%
|
39.5%
|
46.3%
|
46.1%
|
1
|
36.6%
|
34.5%
|
36.6%
|
31.1%
|
31.4%
|
2
|
13.2%
|
16.1%
|
16.8%
|
15.8%
|
17.3%
|
3+
|
6.8%
|
5.0%
|
6.8%
|
6.6%
|
4.9%
|
意甲客队
|
05/06
|
04/05
|
03/04
|
02/03
|
01/02
|
0
|
32.6%
|
34.2%
|
33.0%
|
33.3%
|
34.0%
|
1
|
35.5%
|
36.3%
|
32.7%
|
37.6%
|
34.6%
|
2
|
21.6%
|
19.2%
|
22.9%
|
19.0%
|
21.6%
|
3+
|
10.0%
|
10.0%
|
11.1%
|
9.8%
|
9.5%
|